The Conservatives could do reasonably well in the 2025 local elections if they organise locally. While CCHQ is almost certainly either insolvent or close to it (it cannot touch most of the assets of the Conservative Party Foundation Limited and has substantial liabilities on leases) many of the associations have the resources to employ an agent and actively support council candidates. Even at the present low level of popular support a competently run traditional campaign could identify and pull out enough votes in low turn out elections to hold onto many of the current Conservative council seats. However unless the Conservatives get their act together and canvass street by street, housing estate by housing estate, village by village the low turn out makes the Conservatives vulnerable not just to Reform but also LibDems and Greens who can target carefully chosen divisions. The longer term future of the Conservatives will depend not just on whether they campaign effectively in local elections but also whether they follow up with a membership drive on potentially supporters they identify while campaigning.
The political discourse online, in America, in Canada, online and in Europe moving significantly to the right has to end up helping the British right. The Overton window is also moving in a way that boosts right-wing ideas.
Farage is a populist. No bad thing but he brings to bear grudges, unhappiness not a clear programme of government especially how to make UK economy thrive, catch up 25+ years of very lacklustre performance and position itself going forward
The Conservatives likewise need to show how they can avoid being a follower in developing a go forward vision for UK esp how to pursue an optimal path between Europe and the US Whilst promoting a clear set of values
The Conservatives could do reasonably well in the 2025 local elections if they organise locally. While CCHQ is almost certainly either insolvent or close to it (it cannot touch most of the assets of the Conservative Party Foundation Limited and has substantial liabilities on leases) many of the associations have the resources to employ an agent and actively support council candidates. Even at the present low level of popular support a competently run traditional campaign could identify and pull out enough votes in low turn out elections to hold onto many of the current Conservative council seats. However unless the Conservatives get their act together and canvass street by street, housing estate by housing estate, village by village the low turn out makes the Conservatives vulnerable not just to Reform but also LibDems and Greens who can target carefully chosen divisions. The longer term future of the Conservatives will depend not just on whether they campaign effectively in local elections but also whether they follow up with a membership drive on potentially supporters they identify while campaigning.
The political discourse online, in America, in Canada, online and in Europe moving significantly to the right has to end up helping the British right. The Overton window is also moving in a way that boosts right-wing ideas.
Maybe not a happy 2025 at least for some
Farage is a populist. No bad thing but he brings to bear grudges, unhappiness not a clear programme of government especially how to make UK economy thrive, catch up 25+ years of very lacklustre performance and position itself going forward
The Conservatives likewise need to show how they can avoid being a follower in developing a go forward vision for UK esp how to pursue an optimal path between Europe and the US Whilst promoting a clear set of values